Exactly 365 days remain until World Cup South Africa 2010, but qualification hangs in the balance for many international squads.
Holland, South Korea, Japan and Australia have all qualified, and hosts South Africa are also guaranteed placement in the tournament.
But traditional powerhouses are struggling through qualification groups and are threatened with the prospect of staying home during the premier footballing competition.
Take Mexico, which is usually the creme of the the CONCACAF crop. Javier Aguirre’s El Tri is languishing near the bottom of its qualifying group.
Aguirre has put things more colorfully, stating that his team is “in the hangman’s noose,” although he firmly believes that it will earn itself a reprieve.
Mexico has not failed to qualify for a World Cup since 1982, although it was disqualified from Italy ‘90 for using ineligible players at the Seoul Olympics in 1988.
But one victory in four final-round matches has left “El Tri” with only three points. Mexico is in fifth place in the six-team group, ahead of only Trinidad and Tobago and nine points behind leader Cost Rica.
Only the top three teams are guaranteed spots in the South Africa 2010 World Cup.
Meanwhile, Portugal, which boasts the likes of reigning FIFA World Player of the Year (and Real Madrid target) Cristiano Ronaldo, is also on the ropes in its European qualification group.
Portugal is third in its group behind Denmark and Hungary, and only the top two squads in each group automatically qualify.
South Africa stands to suffer commercially if Portugal falls short:
Some may not miss the world footballer of the year, but hosts South Africa will. Apart from the commercial advantages, the organisers, keen to celebrate their country’s ethnic diversity, were hoping that the local Portuguese-speaking community would make Ronaldo and his teammates among the most vividly supported visitors. So certain were they that Portugal would qualify that plans were well advanced to involve neighbouring Mozambique, a former Portuguese colony, as a site for warm-up games and some genuinely beneficial fundraising for the impoverished nation.
African mainstays Cameroon and Egypt are also not faring well:
After two rounds of Africa’s World Cup qualifying matches not many experts would have guessed that the continent’s two most successful sides would be propping up their groups.
Egypt have won a record six African Nations Cups while Cameroon have been the continent’s top side four times and are chasing a sixth World Cup finals appearance. Yet 2004 and 2006 African champions Egypt are yet to win in Group C and Cameroon are yet to score a single goal in Group A.